Almanacs predict mild, dry winter for county

Snowfall this winter in Kern County will likely be less than the people of the mining town Randsburg saw in 1900.

By Bob Pepalis

Winter will be mild but dry in southern California, including Kern County, a long-range forecast by the Farmers’ Almanac reported. The Old Farmer’s Almanac also predicts a drier than normal winter with below-normal mountain snows, its website said. If these forecasts hold true it will be bad news, because drought conditions were ramping up at the end of last winter.

Expect a cool winter even with below-normal precipitation, the Old Farmer’s Almanac said on its website. The coldest days will be in late December, late January and mid-to-late February. For the rest of September and October, Kern County residents can expect slightly cooler than normal temperatures. Rainfall will be below normal, the Farmers’ Almanac website reported.

Harris-Mann Climatology forecasts that the Southwest, including Kern County, will be drier and warmer than normal through the end of the year, reported. That’s because of what they say will be a potentially developing cooler La Nina sea-surface temperature event. A high chance of wildfires is also predicted.

Kern County’s forecast will see a dip in temperatures in December, but still warmer than normal,

reported. The forecast high of 58.5 is down eight degrees from the previous month, but still 2.4 degrees warmer than normal. The low of 40.6 degrees is similarly higher than normal. But in January and February, Kern County will get a bit chillier than normal, with highs of 55.1 and 62.3

degrees, respectively; more than one degree cooler on average. A forecast low of 38.1 in January and 41.8 in February also are 1.2 degrees cooler than normal. Harris-Mann Climatogy,

like the Almanacs, expects winter in Kern County to be drier than normal. Leading up to winter,

October and November will have less precipitation than the norm of 0.30 inches and 0.59 inches, respectively. December’s 0.60 inches of rain forecast is 0.16 inches less than normal.

The winter forecast doesn’t get better in January or February, with less than an inch forecast in the first month of 2021 and barely more than that the next month. Don’t expect to see much

snow in Kern County. Only one-tenth of an inch is expected in January. The same amount of

snow may fall in March, but it still will be a drier month than normal, LongRange- said.

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